Turks’ holiday cancellations could be bad news for Erdoğan

Travel companies in Turkey are reporting that local customers have cancelled up to 60 percent of bookings for July 8, which is the date on which a second round of the presidential election will be held if no candidate gains more than 50 percent in the first round, economy-focused newspaper Dünya said.

The news indicates a decline in confidence in President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ability to retain the role at the first hurdle, coupled perhaps by an increase in enthusiasm among the supporters of his rivals for the post.

Around 90 percent of local customers with holidays booked for the first round of snap elections on June 24 had cancelled, the chairman of travel company Pronto Tour, Ali Onaran, said.

That figure was now 60 percent for the date of the possible second round presidential election and rising, he added.

Summer elections are thought to favour Erdoğan as more wealthy Turks are more likely to be on holiday, while the president’s supporters among the conservative rural and migrant poor are more likely to remain closer to home.