May 10 2018

Turkey could increase share of renewables to 20 percent by 2026 - report

Turkey can generate 20 percent of its total electricity from wind and solar by 2026, according to a new study published by the Shura Energy Transition Center, founded by the European Climate Foundation (ECF), Germany’s Agora Energiewende and Istanbul Policy Center (IPC) at Sabancı University.

The study notes that there has been tremendous growth of the installed renewable electricity generation capacity in Turkey in recent years and a record level was reached in 2017 with a total installed capacity of more than 83 gigawatts (GW).

The evidence-based analysis covering the 2016 to 2025 period, comparing three different scenarios, showed that doubling the installed wind and solar capacity to 40 GW is feasible. It estimates the total investment needed to expand the transmission grid and the additional transformer stations is approximately the same as earmarked by Turkey’s transmission system operator Türkiye Elektrik İletişim A.Ş.’s (TEİAŞ) Ten-Year Network Development Plan.

In an alternative base case scenario in line with the existing TEİAŞ plan, which assumes 14 GW of wind and 6 GW of solar PV, the share of wind and solar energy in Turkey would reach 12 percent by 2026. Doubling the wind and solar capacity to 40 GW, would increase the share of renewables to 21 percent, while tripling them up would result in a 31 percent share. 

According to estimates, the tripling scenario would require 30 percent more investment in transmission capacity and 20 percent more in transformer substations relative to the base case and the doubling scenario, increasing the annual required investment to 530 million euros, which is 390 million euros annually for 2016–2026 for the base case scenario. The doubling scenario would require minor additional investment in high capacity grid connection lines for large solar parks.