‘AKP votes fell to 30 percent in September due to economic crisis’ - analyst Yeşilada

Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party’s (AKP) votes shrank to 30 percent according to undisclosed polls, Atilla Yeşilada, economist, columnist and a consultant for foreign investors and institutions, said on Thursday.

Yeşilada said that economic indicators demonstrated clearly that Turkey had been facing a stagflation and criticised those arguing that economic difficulties would not lead to a fall in AKP votes. 

“Nobody sees that such analyses in fact mean making fun of our brains,” Yeşilada said, noting that AKP lost seven points of its votes on elections held on Jun. 24, as the economic crisis was about the hit the country.

“The core voters of the AKP, I mean the religious-conservative people, are around 26-30 percent. The rest constitutes of right-wing voters and poor voters tied to the party via ‘clientelism’,” Yeşilada said, adding that he had in his hands two polls conducted for private clients.

“The votes of the AKP, which only fell by two points in August, dropped to 30 percent at the end of September and shrank to its core voters due to economic turmoil,” Yeşilada said. 

Yeşilada said that while the right-wing voters were shifting to Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) and the Good Party, those who were tied to the AKP through social assistance had seen that the aid they received had melted as the inflation had reached 25 percent. 

The AKP will certainly pay the price of the economic meltdown, Yeşilada said, adding that the economic crisis is still at its early states and the recession may continue in 2019 and even in 2020 without an agreement with the International Monetary Fund. 

Yeşilada said that he expected AKP would lose its dominance on Turkey’s local governments on the elections to be held in March 2019 and Turkey would once again start discussing snap elections.