Dec 02 2017

The end of ISIS may mean a paradigm shift for the Middle East - Jerusalem Post

The end of the Islamic State (ISIS) may lead to a shake-up in the regional order in the Middle East, columnist Seth Franzman wrote in the Jerusalem Post.

“The absence of a strong Western policy in the region and engagement means that the next round may hinge on what Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran and Russia decide,” Franzman wrote.

“In many ways this ‘after ISIS’ period resembles 1945 in Europe. What happens now is the key to the region’s future.”

The colonial era in the Middle East, divided largely between France and Britain, was replaced by a Cold War reality in which states competed as allies of the United States or Soviet Union, Franzman said.

The quest for a new order and new stability in the region, he said, had caught the United States unaware, while Turkey, Iran and Russia had begun creating an informal new bloc.

“This leaves Israel in a bind,” he said, since it is locked in conflict with Iranian proxy Hezbollah at a time when Iranian power across the region is in the ascendancy.