Turkish support for Erdoğan’s governing AKP highest since March

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) has 33.2 percent support among Turkish voters, the biggest share since March, according to a July survey by polling company Metropoll.

The AKP has gained nearly 3 percentage points compared with June. It had enjoyed 33.7 percent support in March, just prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus, Metropoll said in a statement on Twitter on Monday.

The survey did not distribute undecided votes to various parties, which are used by Turkish polling companies to predict the eventual outcome of an election. Almost 11 percent of respondents were undecided and 4.5 percent did not answer the telephone survey’s questions, Metropoll said.

The AKP won 43 percent of the vote and 49 percent of parliamentary seats in general elections in 2018.

The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), the AKP's coalition ally, is backed by 6 percent of voters while the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) has the support of 20.5 percent of respondents, a decline of 3.5 percentage points compared with June. The opposition People’s Democratic Party (HDP) and Good Party (IP) have 8 percent and 6.9 percent support, respectively.

DEVA, a new liberal party formed by former deputy prime minister Ali Babacan, has the backing of 1.3 percent of voters, falling from 1.9 percent in June, while the Future Party, formed by Ahmet Davutoglu, Turkey's ex-prime minister who resigned from the AKP last year, has the backing of 2 percent of voters compared with 1.4 percent in June.

Turkey’s next parliamentary and presidential elections are scheduled for 2023. Some analysts say that the formation of new rival parties to the AKP, an ailing economy and calls by members of the ruling AKP-MHP alliance for changes to election laws could signal possible early polls.