Erdoğan would probably lose an election to three opposition rivals - poll

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may lose an election against three of the country’s most prominent opposition politicians, according to a survey by research company Metropoll.

Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu and Ankara mayor Mansur Yavaş could both beat Erdoğan in a run-off for the post of president by more than 10 percentage points, Metropoll director Özer Sencar said on Friday, citing the April poll of 1,752 people.

Meral Akşener, the leader of the opposition Good Party (İP) may win an election against Erdoğan by 4 percentage points, it said.

Turkey is due to hold presidential and parliamentary elections in 2023, the country’s centenary year. Public support for Erdoğan has declined over the past two years after a currency crisis led to an economic recession and infections of COVID-19 reached the fifth highest globally.  

Erdoğan may get re-elected if his run-off opponent is Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, the leader of the main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP). Erdoğan would probably win that contest by almost 3 percentage points, Metropoll said.

The poll interviewed people located in 28 of the 81 provinces of Turkey between April 16 and April 21. The margin or error was plus or minus 2.34 percentage points.