Turkey’s new geo-political destiny does not allow for subservience to the West - analysis

Turkey’s fading ties with the West are a result of the diminishing meaning it attaches to NATO membership and its expanded geopolitical destiny that includes deep engagement in Eurasia, wrote former senior CIA official Graham E. Fuller.

Turkey's drifting away from democracy, Ankara's rapprochement with Russia and purchase of Russian S-400 missile systems despite U.S. and NATO officials' objections, have caused pundits to increasingly question Turkey’s alliance with the West.

Ankara’s recent actions must be examined in the broader perspective as to what Turkey has been all about over the last two or three decades, Fuller wrote in a blog post on his personal website.

Turkey’s fundamentally Eurasian identity has become apparent following the geopolitical shift that occurred with the fall of the Soviet Union, the article said, with NATO failing to mean much of anything at all any to the country save a useful instrument for handling its relations with the United States and Europe.

Turkey, as part of its dual east-west identity, knows it cannot afford to cut ties with the West, the article said, just as it would be short-sighted to align completely with the West and turn its back on the Eurasian project of the future.

The new Turkey is not banking on relations with Russia, either, according to Fuller, who maintains Ankara will likely be nobody’s “ally.”

Graham underlined that the West must not hold its breath on a new Turkish leadership that follows President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to revert to the old status of “ally” whose acquiescence the West had long relied upon.